Monday, November 29, 2010

"The Age of Cheap Oil is Over" - Okay for outdoor wood furnace owners, not so much for those without

Talk of $100 Oil Returns as Options Jump Most in 3 Months: Energy Markets

By Grant Smith and Mark Shenk - Nov 29, 2010 12:35 PM ET

Oil’s return to $100 has become the biggest bet in the crude options market.

The price of options to buy December 2011 futures at $100 a barrel jumped 14 percent on Nov. 24, the largest one-day gain in three months, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. So-called open interest for the contract has risen 51 percent this year to 45,424 lots, the highest for any crude option on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

“Oil will just continue to get stronger as the fundamentals improve, things really begin to look good in 2012, 2013, 2014,” Sieminski said in an interview with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television’s “Inside Track.”

Record World Demand

“Global oil demand is set to hit a new record in 2011,” said Francisco Blanch, New York-based head of commodities at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “The underlying economic picture is still positive. We are still looking for economic growth because of quantitative easing and accelerating growth in emerging markets.”

Most members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, which supplies 40 percent of the world’s oil, have said they’re comfortable with prices between $70 and $90 a barrel. Libya views $100 as acceptable. OPEC Secretary-General Abdalla El-Badri said prices at $100 wouldn’t necessarily damage the global recovery or prompt it to increase production unless accompanied by a supply disruption.

Senior analysts at the IEA, founded by consuming countries in 1974 in response to the Arab oil embargo, also expect oil prices to grind higher in time.

“In terms oil markets, I believe the age of cheap oil is over,” IEA Chief Economist Fatih Birol said at a conference in Budapest on Nov. 26. “There may be zigzags in the future according to the economy, this and that, but the general trend is we will see higher oil prices.”

Posted by Don Squire - Hawken Energy Outdoor Wood Furnaces
Bookmark and Share

1 comment:

  1. First Year Learning Curve with the HE-2100
    We had a cold winter last year by our northern Pennsylvania standards, so I felt lucky having installed the HE-2100 just prior to the heating season. Although I did have a few problems which took until the beginning of this year’s heating season to rectify. Admittedly, the 2100 always heated my 4,200 sq/ft house and I never ran out of domestic hot water, but I was filling it four times a day and shoveling out the ashes with charcoal briquette sized unburnt wood twice a week. It was extremely frustrating to have to fill it at 11:00PM and get out by 5:00 AM to keep the house warm. This year it’s a different story. I easily get 12-hour burns using less wood and only two shovels of ash a day. I also went through 11-cords on a well-insulated house.
    The process I’ve been using this heating season works very well--so here’s a few tips.
    Problem 1
    . Before I got the HE-2100, everybody was telling me how great they worked and that “those boilers” would burn logs no matter the size and/or type. So I cut all my logs 24” in length (the max for the hydraulic splitter) and split 18”-24” diameter logs only in half. (I use only seasoned Red & White Oak and Hickory for burning.) While indeed, there’s no problem with the Hawken burning these logs, there IS a problem with getting enough of them stacked toward the rear of the burn box. This year, I cut about half my wood very short (about 12”-16” split small) and split most of the long pieces into a narrower width. This allows for much easier loading and more wood due to it being lighter and thus easier stacking —even my wife can do it. With the short pieces, I can get two rows of wood in the firebox for those extra cold nights. The long narrow split pieces are easy to load onto the top and the sides of the burn pile—as you should load as much as possible at 12-hour intervals. Resist loading wood between your load times as this only makes things harder at load time. I used to do this when working outside figuring it would help. It doesn’t. I’ll explain why below.

    Problem 2
    Another thing I didn’t do my first year was to rake the burning coals forward when refilling. Not pulling the hot coals forward is what caused the briquette-sized unburnt wood of the first year. Admittedly, had I followed the Owner’s Manual a little more closely regarding the ash pull, I may not even be writing this. Still, it’s so important I would like to see an ash-pulling tool be included with the initial purchase and a little more instruction from the dealer. Right now I use a narrow steel rake. A six-foot long metal pull rake with an an arc-shaped edge would be super.
    “The refill process” – When I open the door after 12-hours, all that’s left burning are the red hot coals. I first shovel out the front 12-inches as this has mostly turned to ash by now. The coals closest to the fan burn very hot and turn to dust—thus raking forward on each load gives you more heat efficiency by leaving no unburnt wood. I then rake to the front all the coals from the rear of the firebox, leaving at least 18-inches of the firebox floor exposed. By giving yourself this added space, it ensures a fully-loaded firebox using the various-sized wood process as explained above. Maybe I did things totally wrong last year and was my own worst enemy, but I’m happy I finally have this down to a science.